Bruce Riedel, a senior fellow at Brookings, recently wrote in the Nixon Centre’s „National Interest” that a new war onIranwould be “catastrophic”.“An Israeli attack onIranis a disaster in the making. And it will directly impact key strategic American interests.Iranwill see an attack as American supported if not American orchestrated. The aircraft in any strike will be American-produced, supplied and funded F-15s and F-16s, and most of the ordnance will be from American stocks.Washington’s $3 billion in assistance annually makes possible the IDF’s conventional superiority in the region.Iranwill almost certainly retaliate against bothU.S.and Israeli targets…. Even ifIranchooses to retaliate in less risky ways, it could respond indirectly by encouraging Hezbollah attacks againstIsraeland Shia militia attacks againstU.S.forces inIraq, as well as terrorist attacks against American and Israeli targets in theMiddle Eastand beyond.”“America’s greatest vulnerability would be inAfghanistan.Irancould easily increase its assistance to the Taliban and make the already-difficult Afghan mission much more complicated.Western Afghanistanis especially vulnerable to Iranian mischief, and NATO has few troops there to cover a vast area. President Obama would have to send more, not fewer, troops to fight that war.”“Making matters worse, considering the likely violent ramifications, even a successful Israeli raid would only delayIran’s nuclear program…. Support for the existing sanctions onIranafter a strike would likely evaporate.”To all posters that really have little knowledge of what is going on inIran, and are not ardent careerists or Zionists pumping for a THIRD and even more catastrophic war, a few comments.My wife is Iranian and an American citizen. I have had two extended trips toIranin recent years, and have been all around the country. As an obvious American, I was received everywhere with courtesy, respect, and civility.Iran is changing very fast. It has a large and growing, educated and westernized economic class, more women than men have advanced university degrees as architects, educators, attorneys, and they drive and vote.Iranhas a major underground of artists, intellectuals and literati (what we would call liberals), young people clued into all the latest western fashions and music. ALL are sick and tired of the present theocratic Mullah dominated state. Trust me on that.Recently, we have seen the splitting of the conservative factions that to date have formed the backbone of the IRI. The current elected president (Ahmadinejad) is in increasing and active conflict with the Guardian Council, being the core of the Mullah leadership of the state. Even elements of the Revolutionary Guards have grown greatly disillusioned with the thuggish clampdown on protesters.My father in law says, leave them alone. Do not provoke a new war that would result in vast chaos worldwide, geopolitical, economic, and military. They can easily close the Straights of Hormuz via small ship actions, mining, and missile strikes. 40% of all the world’s petroleum transits this narrow passage. They need not defeat or sink the American navy to do this. Insurance rates on tanker traffic would do the job very nicely. A new war with petroleum price spikes to who knows what, would collapse the fragile American economy, not to mention the whole world economy, like a house of cards.Chinawould NOT be pleased.I hope no one takes this as an apology for the regime. It is just an appeal for calm and reason. And after all, if we had not overthrown the Iranian democracy in 1953 via the CIA’s Operation Ajax, which put the hated Shah back on the throne for several decades (he had been expelled at that time), none of this would have happened. Let us not compound historic mistakes by making a greater one now.